
436 
FNUS54 KMRX 180905
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
505 AM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIANS THIS MORNING...CAUSING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED 
THUNDERSTORMS. A MOIST AIRMASS LINGERS THIS AFTERNOON...BUT RAIN 
CHANCES SHOULD DECREASE AFTER THE DISTURBANCE MOVES EAST OF THE 
REGION...WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR STORM THIS 
EVENING. DRY WEATHER RETURNS EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS 
OVER THE REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES STAYING WELL ABOVE NORMAL.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-191000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
505 AM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (0)    50-55 (-1)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-4)   87-92 (0)    33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      8300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW  8        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-191000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
505 AM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+2)   46-51 (-4)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-9)   90-95 (+10)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      8800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      W  3         
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-191000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
505 AM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+2)   47-52 (-3)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-10)  78-83 (+2)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      8600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW  6        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-191000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
505 AM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+1)   48-53 (-3)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-7)   90-95 (+7)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            2            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW  7        
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-191000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
505 AM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+1)   47-52 (-3)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-6)   88-93 (+7)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            2            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      9000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW  6        
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-191000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
505 AM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+3)   47-52 (-5)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-9)   92-97 (+11)  31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW  7        
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-191000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
505 AM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+3)   49-54 (-5)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-9)   86-91 (+5)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW  9        
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-191000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
505 AM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012 /405 AM CDT SUN MAR 18 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   50-55 (-5)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-11)  89-94 (+6)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 10        
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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