
525 
FNUS54 KMRX 171915
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 PM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS WILL 
GENERATE PERIODS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE 
REST OF THE WEEKEND. DRY WEATHER RETURNS EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH 
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES STAYING WELL 
ABOVE NORMAL.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
315 PM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   71-76 (+2)   49-54        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-4)   42-47 (-7)   92-97        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.18         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      W  5         
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   68-73 (+1)   46-51        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-6)   43-48 (-6)   95-100       36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.16         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8200                      8400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      NW  5        
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-182015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
315 PM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-1)   69-74 (+2)   47-52        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-12)  38-43 (-8)   92-97        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.09         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW  3        
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-182015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   74-79 (+2)   48-53        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-9)   40-45 (-8)   95-100       36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            2            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW  5        
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-182015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   74-79 (+2)   46-51        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-11)  40-45 (-6)   95-100       39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.06         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW  5        
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         10           

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
315 PM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-1)   73-78 (+3)   47-52        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-11)  40-45 (-7)   95-100       31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.13         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            3            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      W  3         
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
315 PM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    77-82 (+4)   50-55        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-12)  38-43 (-5)   91-96        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.10         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     SW  6        
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
315 PM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 /215 PM CDT SAT MAR 17 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   79-84 (+3)   51-56        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-10)  34-39 (-8)   84-89        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     SW  7        
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

