
029 
FNUS54 KMRX 170859
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
459 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION...AND A MOIST AIR MASS IN PLACE...WILL GENERATE
PERIODS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
COVERAGE SHOULD BE GREATEST IN THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS...AND A
FEW STRONG STORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND SMALL HAIL ARE
POSSIBLE. DRY WEATHER RETURNS EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE REGION...WITH TEMPERATURES STAYING WELL ABOVE
NORMAL.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
459 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-3)   50-55 (0)    73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-1)   90-95 (+10)  34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.06         0.18         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     W 13         
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-181000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
459 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-3)   50-55 (0)    70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-1)   81-86 (+10)  35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.06         0.16         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      8200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     W 10         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-181000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
459 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-2)   49-54 (0)    70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-6)   79-84 (+6)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.04         0.09         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      SW 13        
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-181000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
459 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-4)   50-55 (-1)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   84-89 (+7)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 13        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-181000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
459 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-4)   50-55 (0)    74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+4)   82-87 (+5)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.04         0.06         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 12        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-181000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
459 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-5)   51-56 (0)    75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-1)   82-87 (+8)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.05         0.13         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     W 10         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-181000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
459 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-3)   53-58 (+1)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-2)   82-87 (+2)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.04         0.10         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 14        
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-181000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
459 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 /359 AM CDT SAT MAR 17 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-4)   53-58 (0)    79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+1)   84-89 (-1)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 14        
DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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