
214 
FNUS54 KMRX 161913
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
313 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION...WILL GENERATE PERIODS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. COVERAGE SHOULD BE GREATEST IN 
THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS...AND A FEW STRONG STORMS WITH LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINS AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE. DRY WEATHER RETURNS EARLY 
NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION...WITH 
TEMPERATURES STAYING WELL ABOVE NORMAL.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
313 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    71-76 (-1)   51-56        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-11)  41-46 (-4)   85-90        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.10         0.02         0.17         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8000                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   69-74 (-1)   49-54        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-22)  41-46 (-4)   88-93        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.12         0.02         0.13         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8100                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W  9         
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-172015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
313 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    69-74 (0)    49-54        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-18)  40-45 (-6)   82-87        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.12         0.02         0.13         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      SW  9        
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-172015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   73-78 (-2)   50-55        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  42-47 (0)    87-92        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.10         0.02         0.11         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     SW  9        
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-172015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   72-77 (-3)   50-55        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  41-46 (+2)   90-95        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.11         0.02         0.13         
LAL                   3            4            3            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8400                      8400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      SW  8        
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               45 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
313 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   74-79 (-1)   50-55        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-19)  40-45 (-4)   89-94        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.12         0.02         0.14         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW  9        
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
313 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   76-81 (0)    53-58        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-12)  40-45 (-3)   84-89        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.12         0.02         0.10         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      SW 12        
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
313 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012 /213 PM CDT FRI MAR 16 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   77-82 (-1)   53-58        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   41-46 (0)    87-92        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.09         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   3            3            3            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW 10        
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

