
527 
FNUS54 KMRX 151911
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
311 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COUPLE OF WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION WILL GENERATE OCCASIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE WEEKEND.  OTHERWISE...EXPECT CONTINUED 
UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS EACH DAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
311 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+1)   70-75 (-1)   50-55        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 43-48 (-5)   95-100       41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.39         0.10         0.11         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W  3         
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+2)   67-72 (-3)   48-53        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  47-52 (-1)   95-100       43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.35         0.08         0.14         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W  6         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-162015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
311 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   67-72 (-4)   48-53        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+5)   49-54 (0)    87-92        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.33         0.10         0.13         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W  6         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-162015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   71-76 (-4)   50-55        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+4)   47-52 (0)    88-93        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.30         0.08         0.08         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-162015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   71-76 (-2)   49-54        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+1)   49-54 (-1)   88-93        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.28         0.07         0.09         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W  7         
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   27 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
311 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    73-78 (0)    49-54        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+5)   41-46 (-6)   93-98        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.38         0.12         0.13         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W  5         
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
311 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   73-78 (-2)   52-57        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+8)   44-49 (-4)   89-94        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.36         0.13         0.09         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W  5         
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
311 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012 /211 PM CDT THU MAR 15 2012/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   75-80 (-3)   52-57        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+6)   40-45 (-5)   95-100       38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.26         0.07         0.09         
LAL                   3            4            3            3            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

