
349 
FNUS54 KMRX 042029
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
329 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND TENNESSEE VALLEY TONIGHT...
BRINGING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIKELY TONIGHT
AND MONDAY MORNING...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE ABOVE 2500 FEET.

DRY WEATHER AND WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES QUICKLY RETURN FOR
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
329 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-4)   35-40 (-1)   18-23        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+26)  41-46 (0)    77-82        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G21                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G17    NW 11 G21    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.13         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 28                     S  8         
DISPERSION                         99 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
329 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-3)   35-40 (-2)   17-22        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+17)  38-43 (0)    73-78        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 17 G32                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G25     NW 14 G25    NW  6 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.14         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 32                     S  9         
DISPERSION                         97 GOOD                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-052130-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
329 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   36-41 (-2)   20-25        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+13)  32-37 (-3)   72-77        16-21        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 16 G36                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G25    NW 12 G25    LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.06         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 28                     S  9         
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-052130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
329 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+1)   43-48 (+1)   21-26        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+22)  26-31 (-6)   78-83        18-23        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 15 G27                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G22    NW 11 G23    LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     S 12         
DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-052130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
329 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+1)   43-48 (+1)   20-25        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+21)  24-29 (-7)   77-82        15-20        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 16 G27                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    NW 13 G23    LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 29                     S 10         
DISPERSION                         88 GOOD                   28 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
329 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   38-43 (-2)   17-22        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+20)  39-44 (+2)   86-91        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G27                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5 G16    NW 11 G21    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.12         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 28                     S  6         
DISPERSION                         100 GOOD                  14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
329 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (0)    41-46 (-1)   22-27        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+17)  34-39 (+2)   80-85        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G26                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     S 10         
DISPERSION                         92 GOOD                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
329 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2012 /229 PM CST SUN MAR 4 2012/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   47-52 (+1)   24-29        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+13)  24-29 (-4)   77-82        19-24        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G28                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G21    NW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      S  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     S 17         
DISPERSION                         89 GOOD                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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