
049 
FNUS54 KMRX 020831
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A STRONG COLD FRONT DURING THE EVENING HOURS. A 
SQUALL LINE WITH STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO 
DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT...AS IT QUICKLY MOVES EAST ACROSS 
THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY. MUCH COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE 
THEN EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-030845-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+6)   42-47 (+4)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+29)  93-98 (+3)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G16                 W  9 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G29     SW 15 G28    W 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       6            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.57         0.03         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     W 22         
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-030845-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+4)   43-48 (+2)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+30)  90-95 (-1)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G23                  W  9 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     SW 13 G25    W 11 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       6            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.56         0.04         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     W 25         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 
MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-030845-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+4)   42-47 (-4)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+34)  91-96 (-2)   26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G30                  NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 19 G37    SW 18 G34    NW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           50           
PRECIP DURATION       6            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.95         0.05         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     NW 20        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S 
TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-030845-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-1)   42-47 (-6)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+38)  91-96 (-1)   27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G26                  NW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G29     SW 15 G28    NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       6            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         1.13         0.03         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     NW 20        
DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-030845-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-2)   43-48 (-1)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+40)  90-95 (-2)   27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G21                  NW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     SW 12 G24    NW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           50           
PRECIP DURATION       6            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         1.14         0.06         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     NW 23        
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-030845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+4)   43-48 (+4)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+33)  93-98 (+3)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G19                 W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G26     SW 13 G26    W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       6            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.66         0.02         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     W 18         
DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-030845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+3)   42-47 (-1)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+36)  93-98 (+2)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G23                  NW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 16 G28     SW 15 G28    W  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           10           
PRECIP DURATION       6            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.82         0.01         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     NW 17        
DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   61 GOOD      

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-030845-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012 /500 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+2)   41-46 (-8)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+38)  90-95 (-2)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G25                  NW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G26     SW 14 G25    NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           10           
PRECIP DURATION       6            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.93         0.01         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   62 GOOD      

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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