
175 
FNUS54 KMRX 012018
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
318 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION DURING 
FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY A STRONG COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT...AND EARLY 
SATURDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED FRIDAY 
...FRIDAY NIGHT...AND INTO SATURDAY MORNING. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS 
AND NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE REMAINDER OF 
THE WEEKEND.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
318 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-4)   64-69 (+4)   44-49        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-20)  44-49 (+20)  90-95        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G19                  W  8 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 14 G26     S 13 G26     W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           80           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.26         0.67         0.06         
LAL                   1            4            5            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     W 20         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH
DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
318 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-3)   62-67 (+2)   48-53        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-20)  41-46 (+16)  89-94        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G19                  W 11 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 14 G28     S 14 G28     W 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           80           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.21         0.77         0.11         
LAL                   1            4            5            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 21         
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-022130-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
318 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+1)   65-70 (+5)   46-51        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-20)  40-45 (+16)  89-94        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G25                  W  7 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 18 G36     SW 19 G37    W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           90           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.43         0.96         0.10         
LAL                   2            4            5            2            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     W 14         
DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO
20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-022130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
318 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   70-75 (+2)   49-54        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   48-53 (+25)  80-85        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G22                  N  6 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 17 G31     S 16 G30     NW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           90           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.43         1.02         0.07         
LAL                   2            4            5            2            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     NW 14        
DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-022130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
318 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-4)   69-74 (+1)   50-55        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+6)   50-55 (+27)  77-82        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G18                  NW  8 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 13 G25     S 14 G25     NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           90           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.39         0.96         0.09         
LAL                   2            4            5            2            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
318 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-5)   66-71 (+3)   48-53        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-10)  48-53 (+23)  86-91        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 13 G25     S 12 G23     W 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           80           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.33         0.78         0.08         
LAL                   1            4            5            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 17         
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
318 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+1)   69-74 (+4)   46-51        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-7)   48-53 (+24)  84-89        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G22                  W  6 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 17 G30     SW 15 G28    W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           90           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.48         0.91         0.05         
LAL                   2            4            5            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     NW 14        
DISPERSION                         83 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
318 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012 /218 PM CST THU MAR 1 2012/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+1)   71-76 (+3)   46-51        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+8)   52-57 (+31)  82-87        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G22                  NW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 16 G29     S 15 G28     NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.49         1.07         0.05         
LAL                   2            4            5            2            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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