
228 
FNUS54 KMRX 292020
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
320 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS EVENING AS A COLD 
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. DRY CONDITIONS 
WILL RETURN THURSDAY...BUT WILL NOT LAST LONG...AS RAIN CHANCES ARE 
EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN EARLY FRIDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-012130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
320 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-4)   60-65 (-2)   39-44        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+23) 24-29 (-38)  74-79        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  SE  7 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G25    W 11 G21     LGT/VAR      S 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION       3                                      2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.00         0.00         0.32         
LAL                   5            1            1            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      S 14         
DISPERSION                         97 GOOD                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND FLURRIES. COOLER.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-012130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-3)   60-65 (-2)   40-45        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+26) 20-25 (-43)  74-79        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G21                  S 10 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G27    W 11 G22     W  6 G17     S 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION       3                                      2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.00         0.00         0.29         
LAL                   5            1            1            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 36                      S 15         
DISPERSION                         103 VERY GOOD             21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SPRINKLES AND FLURRIES. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-012130-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
320 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-4)   60-65 (-4)   40-45        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  12-17 (-52)  73-78        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  S 12 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G33    W 10 G19     SW  5        S 14 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       3                         1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            4 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.00         0.03         0.48         
LAL                   5            1            1            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      SW 29        
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-012130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-2)   68-73 (0)    44-49        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+6)   15-20 (-57)  92-97        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      S 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G26    W  7         LGT/VAR      S 14 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       3                         1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.65         0.00         0.08         0.48         
LAL                   5            1            1            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      SW 28        
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO
MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-012130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (0)    68-73 (+1)   40-45        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-5)   12-17 (-63)  95-100       51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      SE  7 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      S 13 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       3                         1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.78         0.00         0.09         0.42         
LAL                   5            1            1            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      SW 21        
DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          2                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-012130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
320 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-4)   64-69 (-1)   39-44        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+27) 22-27 (-40)  83-88        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G19                  SE  7 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G23    W  9 G19     LGT/VAR      S 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION       3                                      2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            4 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.00         0.00         0.39         
LAL                   5            1            1            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      S 14         
DISPERSION                         87 GOOD                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND FLURRIES. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-012130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
320 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-7)   64-69 (-2)   45-50        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 23-28 (-43)  81-86        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      SE  8 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G23    W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      S 14 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            4 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.00         0.03         0.47         
LAL                   5            1            1            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      SW 22        
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-012130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
320 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012 /220 PM CST WED FEB 29 2012/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-5)   68-73 (0)    49-54        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   18-23 (-52)  93-98        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     S 11 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G24    SW  6        LGT/VAR      S 14 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.00         0.11         0.45         
LAL                   5            1            1            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      SW 31        
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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