
719 
FNUS54 KMRX 290903
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
403 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME STRONG CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT THAT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN THURSDAY...WITH
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BUT WILL NOT LAST LONG...AS RAIN CHANCES
ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN FRIDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-011000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
403 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-1)   44-49 (-2)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+29)  88-93 (+15)  27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G22                  W  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G25    SW 14 G25    W 10 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.72         0.46         0.00         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 41                     W 31         
DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   97 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND FLURRIES. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-011000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
403 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+3)   42-47 (-3)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+23)  91-96 (+15)  28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G21                 W 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G25    SW 14 G27    W 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.58         0.00         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 38                     W 36         
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               103 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SPRINKLES AND FLURRIES. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-011000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
403 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+7)   43-48 (-3)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+16)  83-88 (+6)   21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 15 G32                 W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 17 G32    SW 16 G33    W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.66         0.00         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 43                     W 28         
DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH
INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-011000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
403 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+7)   46-51 (-3)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+9)   79-84 (-3)   22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G24                  W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G26    SW 13 G26    W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.67         0.00         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 37                     W 18         
DISPERSION            86 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-011000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
403 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+7)   47-52 (-1)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+9)   77-82 (-6)   21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G21    SW 11 G21    W  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.67         0.00         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     W 24         
DISPERSION            102 VERY GOOD             77 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         2            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-011000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
403 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (0)    45-50 (-2)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+27)  87-92 (+14)  29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G21                  W  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G24    SW 13 G23    W  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.61         0.00         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 40                     W 26         
DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   87 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND FLURRIES. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-011000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
403 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+1)   45-50 (-6)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+23)  82-87 (+11)  28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G23                 W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G24    SW 12 G23    W  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.76         0.49         0.00         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 39                     W 21         
DISPERSION            91 GOOD                   66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH
INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-011000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
403 AM EST WED FEB 29 2012 /303 AM CST WED FEB 29 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+4)   46-51 (-6)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+13)  83-88 (+6)   26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G21                  NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G24    SW 11 G24    SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.57         0.00         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 37                     W 15         
DISPERSION            100 GOOD                  45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TD/SON

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