
762 
FNUS54 KMRX 282012
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
312 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL SHIFT TO OUR NORTH THIS EVENING...ALLOWING 
MOISTURE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA...AND INCREASE OUR CHANCES OF 
RAIN OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR 
WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN THURSDAY...BUT WILL NOT LAST 
LONG...AS RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN ON FRIDAY.

WINDS WILL BE MUCH STRONGER WEDNESDAY...BUT HUMIDITY VALUES WILL 
RISE ALSO.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-292115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
312 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+13)  63-68 (+1)   44-49        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+17)  58-63 (+31)  83-88        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G23                 W  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     SW 13 G23    SW 13 G24    W 10 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.68         0.33         0.00         
LAL                   4            5            4            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 44                     W 25         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   67 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-292115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
312 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+11)  62-67 (0)    43-48        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+20)  55-60 (+28)  88-93        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G22                 W 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G22     SW 13 G24    SW 13 G27    W 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.25         0.41         0.00         
LAL                   4            5            5            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 40                     W 29         
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-292115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
312 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+13)  65-70 (+1)   43-48        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+15)  51-56 (+22)  84-89        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 16 G32                 W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G23     SW 16 G31    SW 16 G33    W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.24         0.52         0.00         
LAL                   4            5            5            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 43                     W 23         
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH
INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-292115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
312 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+13)  70-75 (+3)   46-51        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+10)  51-56 (+13)  81-86        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G25                  W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G21    SW 13 G24    SW 13 G26    W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.23         0.47         0.00         
LAL                   4            5            5            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     W 16         
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-292115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
312 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+13)  70-75 (+5)   47-52        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+11)  50-55 (+10)  80-85        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G20                  W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    SW 11 G20    SW 11 G21    W  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.14         0.43         0.00         
LAL                   4            5            5            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     W 20         
DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   54 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-292115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
312 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+11)  65-70 (+1)   44-49        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+20)  56-61 (+27)  85-90        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G23                 W  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SW 13 G24    SW 12 G22    W  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.44         0.49         0.00         
LAL                   4            5            5            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1800                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 41                     W 21         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-292115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
312 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+12)  67-72 (+2)   45-50        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+11)  56-61 (+23)  83-88        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 14 G25                 W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G18     SW 13 G24    SW 12 G22    W  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.66         0.38         0.00         
LAL                   5            5            5            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 40                     W 16         
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH
INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-292115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
312 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2012 /212 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2012/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+13)  71-76 (+6)   46-51        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+12)  54-59 (+14)  84-89        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G22                  NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     SW 12 G22    SW 11 G21    SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.45         0.39         0.00         
LAL                   5            5            5            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     W 13         
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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