
959 
FNUS54 KMRX 272009
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
309 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012

.DISCUSSION...
DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT 
AND MOST OF TUESDAY. AN APPOROACHING COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD SHOWERS 
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION STARTING 
TUESDAY NIGHT...AND CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
309 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+4)   60-65 (+3)   43-48        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-4)   27-32 (-10)  88-93        61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.14         0.41         
LAL                   1            1            3            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     SW 45        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-282115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+3)   60-65 (+6)   41-46        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (0)    25-30 (-17)  95-100       63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  8 G16     SW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.22         
LAL                   1            1            3            4            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     SW 39        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-282115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
309 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   61-66 (+7)   43-48        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-9)   26-31 (-12)  91-96        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  8 G15     SW 12 G28    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         0.25         
LAL                   1            1            3            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     SW 47        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               75 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-282115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+4)   65-70 (+5)   46-51        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-7)   35-40 (-8)   88-93        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     S  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8         S  8 G16     SW 10 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         0.27         
LAL                   1            1            3            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 40        
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   75 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-282115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+6)   66-71 (+5)   45-50        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-11)  34-39 (-7)   89-94        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     S  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8         SE  7        SW  8 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.11         0.23         
LAL                   1            1            3            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SW 36        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   66 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-282115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
309 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+6)   62-67 (+4)   44-49        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-13)  29-34 (-10)  92-97        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         0.29         
LAL                   1            1            3            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      SW 40        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-282115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
309 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+5)   61-66 (+2)   47-52        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   34-39 (-2)   86-91        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  6         SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.22         0.35         
LAL                   1            1            3            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      SW 45        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   87 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN
THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-282115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
309 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012 /209 PM CST MON FEB 27 2012/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+4)   64-69 (+2)   49-54        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-1)   38-43 (0)    86-91        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      S 10 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8         S  7 G15     SW 12 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.17         0.38         
LAL                   1            1            3            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      SW 40        
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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