
164 
FNUS54 KMRX 231011
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
511 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE EARLY THIS MORNING LEAVING MUCH 
OF THE DAY DRY. INCREASING SUNSHINE DURING THE DAY AND A 
STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BOOST TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE 
NORMAL INTO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL 
MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS 
AND LARGE HAIL.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
511 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+14)  43-48 (+2)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-5)   86-91 (-10)  32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 W 15 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW 12 G21    W 15 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.19         0.09         
LAL                   2            4            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 40         
DISPERSION            108 VERY GOOD             194 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
511 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+10)  43-48 (+2)   45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-5)   92-97 (-1)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G20                  W 14 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G23    SW 14 G24    W 15 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.17         
LAL                   1            4            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 44         
DISPERSION            101 VERY GOOD             183 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-241115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
511 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+6)   42-47 (-1)   45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-13)  92-97 (+4)   26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G24                 W 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G29    SW 16 G29    W 12 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.19         0.18         
LAL                   1            4            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     W 39         
DISPERSION            88 GOOD                   150 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-241115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
511 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+5)   47-52 (+2)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-8)   83-88 (-10)  24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G21                 W 10 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G26    SW 14 G26    NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.19         0.24         
LAL                   1            4            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W 31         
DISPERSION            89 GOOD                   133 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-241115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
511 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+6)   47-52 (+2)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-13)  84-89 (-10)  22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G19                 W 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G24    SW 13 G24    NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.27         
LAL                   1            4            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 35         
DISPERSION            105 VERY GOOD             147 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
511 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+14)  44-49 (+1)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-16)  87-92 (-8)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 W 13 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW 12 G21    W 13 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.19         0.13         
LAL                   1            4            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 38         
DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   185 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
511 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+12)  44-49 (-1)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-20)  83-88 (-11)  29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G18                 W 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G24     SW 13 G24    W 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.19         0.10         
LAL                   1            4            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 35         
DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   169 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
511 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012 /411 AM CST THU FEB 23 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+6)   44-49 (-3)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-9)   85-90 (-11)  28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G21                 W 11 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G26     SW 13 G26    NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.18         0.12         
LAL                   1            4            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     W 31         
DISPERSION            88 GOOD                   146 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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