
250 
FNUS54 KMRX 221947
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
247 PM EST WED FEB 22 2012

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIT OVERNIGHT TONIGHT ALLOWING SKIES 
TO SLOWLY CLEAR AND TEMPERATURES TO WARM UP INTO THE UPPER 60S AND 
LOW 70S THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION 
THURSDAY NIGHT BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.    


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
247 PM EST WED FEB 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+9)   64-69 (+13)  42-47        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 43-48 (-6)   82-87        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G17                 W 14 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G20    SW 12 G22    S 10 G24     W 14 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            60           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2                         2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.00         0.19         0.14         
LAL                   3            1            4            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     W 30         
DISPERSION                         121 VERY GOOD             156 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
247 PM EST WED FEB 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+9)   61-66 (+9)   41-46        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+17)  43-48 (-4)   91-96        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G18                  W 13 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G20    SW 11 G21    S 15 G31     W 17 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2                         2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.00         0.15         0.17         
LAL                   4            1            4            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     W 36         
DISPERSION                         93 GOOD                   152 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-232100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
247 PM EST WED FEB 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+11)  61-66 (+5)   41-46        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+11)  45-50 (-9)   90-95        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  W 10 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G31    SW 15 G28    SW 19 G39    W 14 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2                         2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.00         0.28         0.27         
LAL                   4            1            4            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     W 31         
DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   127 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-232100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
247 PM EST WED FEB 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+12)  66-71 (+5)   46-51        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+4)   43-48 (-10)  83-88        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G17                 NW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G24    SW 14 G24    S 15 G29     NW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            3 AM                      CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.00         0.37         0.31         
LAL                   4            1            4            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     W 26         
DISPERSION                         90 GOOD                   127 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-232100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
247 PM EST WED FEB 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+13)  66-71 (+6)   46-51        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+2)   42-47 (-13)  84-89        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G20    SW 12 G21    S 12 G22     NW 13 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            3 AM                      CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.00         0.29         0.35         
LAL                   4            1            4            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 30         
DISPERSION                         103 VERY GOOD             138 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          4                         2            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
247 PM EST WED FEB 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+10)  66-71 (+13)  43-48        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+14)  41-46 (-16)  87-92        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G18                 W 12 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G20    SW 12 G22    S 12 G28     W 14 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2                         2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.00         0.19         0.18         
LAL                   4            1            4            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     W 28         
DISPERSION                         83 GOOD                   143 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
247 PM EST WED FEB 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+11)  67-72 (+11)  44-49        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+10)  42-47 (-20)  80-85        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G20                 W 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G20    SW 14 G24    SW 14 G28    W 12 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            3 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.00         0.26         0.17         
LAL                   4            1            5            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     W 24         
DISPERSION                         86 GOOD                   130 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-232100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
247 PM EST WED FEB 22 2012 /147 PM CST WED FEB 22 2012/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+12)  69-74 (+6)   45-50        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+9)   42-47 (-11)  79-84        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G18                 NW 10 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G18    SW 14 G24    SW 14 G25    NW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            3 AM                      CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.36         0.22         
LAL                   4            1            5            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     W 23         
DISPERSION                         87 GOOD                   114 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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