
556 
FNUS54 KMRX 212009
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
309 PM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

.DISCUSSION...
DECREASING WINDS AND CLOUD COVER CAN BE EXPECTED THIS EVENING AHEAD 
OF THE NEXT SYSTEM WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM 
WILL BRING BREEZY CONDITIONS AND A CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS DURING 
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING TOMORROW. THERE WILL BE A POSSIBILITY OF 
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD 
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.     


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
309 PM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+5)   54-59 (+6)   41-46        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+4)   41-46 (-9)   88-93        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G19                 SW 12 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G18    SW 13 G22    SW 12 G25    SW 14 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.05         0.06         
LAL                   1            2            2            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     SW 31        
DISPERSION                         104 VERY GOOD             90 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+5)   54-59 (+7)   42-47        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    40-45 (-10)  80-85        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G21                 W 13 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    SW 13 G25    SW 15 G30    SW 13 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.06         0.06         
LAL                   1            2            2            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 33                      W 30         
DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   97 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-222115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
309 PM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+1)   54-59 (+6)   43-48        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+5)   39-44 (-10)  79-84        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G27                 SW 15 G28    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G26    SW 14 G29    SW 16 G31    SW 17 G30    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.06         0.08         
LAL                   1            2            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     SW 26        
DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   75 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-222115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+2)   58-63 (+4)   43-48        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+4)   41-46 (-10)  88-93        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G21                 SW 12 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G22    SW 11 G23    SW 10 G22    SW 16 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.06         0.10         
LAL                   1            2            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     SW 22        
DISPERSION                         102 VERY GOOD             66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-222115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+5)   57-62 (+4)   42-47        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+5)   43-48 (-10)  91-96        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G18                 SW 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G19    SW 11 G20    SW  8 G18    SW 15 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.06         0.10         
LAL                   1            2            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     SW 18        
DISPERSION                         97 GOOD                   68 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
309 PM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+5)   56-61 (+4)   41-46        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+3)   41-46 (-6)   84-89        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G19                 SW 12 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G19    SW 12 G22    SW 12 G25    SW 14 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.06         0.06         
LAL                   1            2            2            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     SW 29        
DISPERSION                         114 VERY GOOD             77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
309 PM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+6)   57-62 (+4)   45-50        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+4)   42-47 (-7)   85-90        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G20                 SW 11 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G19    SW 12 G21    SW 10 G20    SW 15 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.04         0.08         
LAL                   1            2            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     SW 24        
DISPERSION                         131 VERY GOOD             70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
309 PM EST TUE FEB 21 2012 /209 PM CST TUE FEB 21 2012/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-3)   59-64 (+4)   47-52        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+5)   42-47 (-8)   88-93        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G18                 SW 11 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G20    SW 10 G20    SW  9 G18    SW 15 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.05         0.10         
LAL                   1            2            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     SW 23        
DISPERSION                         125 VERY GOOD             79 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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