
202 
FNUS54 KMRX 210810
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
310 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL TRACK THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND BREEZY CONDITIONS TODAY. A FEW LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS COULD AFFECT WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. ANOTHER SYSTEM
WILL BRING GREATER CHANCES OF RAIN SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
310 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   34-39 (+6)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+2)   74-79 (-2)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  SW  9 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    SW  8 G16    SW 12 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     W 32         
DISPERSION            133 VERY GOOD             105 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+5)   36-41 (+9)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (0)    66-71 (-13)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G18                  SW  9 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    W  7 G15     SW 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 38         
DISPERSION            100 GOOD                  112 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-220915-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
310 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   36-41 (+5)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+4)   64-69 (-11)  32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G25                  SW 10 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    SW  8 G17    SW 13 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W 36         
DISPERSION            100 GOOD                  89 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-220915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+3)   34-39 (+3)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+8)   80-85 (+5)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G21                  SW  8 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    SW  7 G15    SW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     SW 30        
DISPERSION            108 VERY GOOD             92 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-220915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
310 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   33-38 (+6)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+10)  84-89 (+9)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G17                  SW  7 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  6        SW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 30         
DISPERSION            103 VERY GOOD             94 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS NEAR
50. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
310 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+6)   33-38 (+5)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+1)   73-78 (-4)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  SW  8 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW  6        SW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W 29         
DISPERSION            126 VERY GOOD             103 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
310 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   35-40 (+7)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   74-79 (-1)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G20                  SW  7 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    SW  6        SW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            50           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         
PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     SW 29        
DISPERSION            156 VERY GOOD             103 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
310 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2012 /210 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+4)   36-41 (-2)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+8)   80-85 (+7)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  SW  9 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G23    SW  6        SW 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         
PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     SW 28        
DISPERSION            141 VERY GOOD             96 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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