
932 
FNUS54 KMRX 202018
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
318 PM EST MON FEB 20 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL TRACK THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON 
TUESDAY...BRINGING INCREASING CLOUDS AND BREEZY CONDITIONS FOR THE 
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...DUE TO LIMITED MOISTURE THERE WILL ONLY BE A 
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. 
FOLLOWING CLOSE BEHIND WILL BE ANOTHER SYSTEM ON WEDNESDAY.   


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
318 PM EST MON FEB 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+3)   50-55 (+8)   32-37        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-6)   47-52 (+3)   81-86        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G21                  SW  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 13 G23    SW  7 G16    SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     SW 29        
DISPERSION                         98 GOOD                   80 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
318 PM EST MON FEB 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-1)   49-54 (+7)   31-36        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-5)   46-51 (+2)   79-84        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G25                  W 10 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SW 12 G25    SW  7 G16    W 16 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 31         
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   110 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-212130-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
318 PM EST MON FEB 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+3)   50-55 (+5)   32-37        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-8)   45-50 (+6)   78-83        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 15 G32                  SW 13 G32    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW 16 G32    SW 10 G22    SW 17 G33    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     SW 28        
DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   90 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 30 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-212130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
318 PM EST MON FEB 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+2)   53-58 (+2)   33-38        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-9)   46-51 (+12)  83-88        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G25                  SW 11 G28    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 13 G26    SW  8 G19    SW 14 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     SW 23        
DISPERSION                         94 GOOD                   79 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-212130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
318 PM EST MON FEB 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (0)    52-57 (+1)   33-38        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-10)  48-53 (+15)  81-86        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G22                  SW  9 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 12 G23    SW  7 G16    SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     SW 21        
DISPERSION                         86 GOOD                   81 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
318 PM EST MON FEB 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+2)   52-57 (+6)   33-38        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-3)   47-52 (+6)   80-85        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G21                  SW  9 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 12 G23    SW  5        SW 15 G28    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     SW 28        
DISPERSION                         99 GOOD                   84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
318 PM EST MON FEB 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+6)   53-58 (+5)   34-39        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-5)   49-54 (+10)  83-88        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G22                  SW  9 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 13 G23    SW  7 G17    SW 14 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     SW 25        
DISPERSION                         121 VERY GOOD             81 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
318 PM EST MON FEB 20 2012 /218 PM CST MON FEB 20 2012/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+5)   55-60 (+4)   35-40        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   46-51 (+11)  80-85        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G20                  SW 10 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 13 G22    SW  7 G17    SW 14 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     SW 24        
DISPERSION                         123 VERY GOOD             85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

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