
715 
FNUS54 KMRX 200915
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
415 AM EST MON FEB 20 2012

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION  
TODAY...BRINGING TRANQUIL AND DRY CONDITIONS. A WEAK COLD FRONT 
WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON TUESDAY...BUT TEMPERATURES ARE 
EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR MOST OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-211015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
415 AM EST MON FEB 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   27-32 (+3)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-16)  75-80 (-9)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     SW 36        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               88 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR
40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-211015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
415 AM EST MON FEB 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+5)   28-33 (+3)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-28)  68-73 (-18)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      SW 30        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-211015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
415 AM EST MON FEB 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+6)   29-34 (+5)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-43)  71-76 (-15)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     S 14 G32     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     SW 38        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               69 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-211015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
415 AM EST MON FEB 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+9)   29-34 (+1)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-46)  88-93 (+3)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 12 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     SW 33        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               87 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-211015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
415 AM EST MON FEB 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+7)   28-33 (-2)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-50)  91-96 (+5)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     SW 30        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   80 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR
40. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-211015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
415 AM EST MON FEB 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   27-32 (+1)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-26)  77-82 (-6)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     SW 32        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               83 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR
40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-211015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
415 AM EST MON FEB 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   31-36 (+6)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-31)  77-82 (-4)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 10                     SW 38        
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   113 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO
10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-211015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
415 AM EST MON FEB 20 2012 /315 AM CST MON FEB 20 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+9)   33-38 (+5)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-41)  78-83 (0)    45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     S 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 13                     SW 35        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   116 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO
10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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