
684 
FNUS54 KMRX 191957
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON 
MONDAY...BRINGING TRANQUIL AND DRY CONDITIONS. A WEAK COLD FRONT 
WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON TUESDAY...BUT TEMPERATURES ARE 
EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR MOST OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
300 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-15)  43-48 (+6)   27-32        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+5)   35-40 (-18)  77-82        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW 13 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     SW 32        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    68 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-13)  43-48 (+6)   26-31        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-3)   34-39 (-30)  74-79        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      SE  8 G21    SW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     SW 26        
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-202100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
300 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-14)  45-50 (+7)   28-33        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-8)   34-39 (-40)  73-78        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 15 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      S  8 G23     SW 14 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     SW 33        
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-202100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-15)  49-54 (+8)   30-35        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-9)   33-38 (-44)  76-81        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 13 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     LGT/VAR      SE  6 G20    S 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     SW 31        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    69 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-202100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-16)  48-53 (+7)   29-34        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   32-37 (-47)  78-83        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G15     S  5         SE  6 G16    S 12 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  9                      SW 28        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   64 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
300 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-16)  47-52 (+6)   29-34        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+3)   32-37 (-29)  77-82        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        E  5         SW 12 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     SW 28        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
300 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-15)  49-54 (+8)   33-38        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (0)    32-37 (-31)  75-80        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6 G15     E  5         LGT/VAR      SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 10                      SW 35        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   91 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
300 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2012 /200 PM CST SUN FEB 19 2012/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-13)  52-57 (+8)   34-39        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-11)  33-38 (-37)  70-75        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     S 11 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G18     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G17    S 12 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM         
PRECIP END            11 PM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  9                      SW 32        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               98 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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