
842 
FNUS54 KMRX 190856
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
356 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2012

.DISCUSSION...
AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL 
TO THE AREA. THIS RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY SWITCH OVER TO SNOW TODAY 
ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WITH THE CHANGE OVER OCCURRING 
LATER IN THE VALLEYS TOWARDS EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THIS 
EVENING...BEFORE EXITING THE REGION BY SUNRISE ON MONDAY MORNING.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-201000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
356 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-19)  21-26 (-13)  43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+12)  95-100 (+6)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  7                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G16     N  7 G16     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.80         0.11         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 14                      NE  9        
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-201000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
356 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-18)  21-26 (-12)  42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+23)  95-100 (+8)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NW  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.76         0.11         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 13                      N 10         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LESS
THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-201000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
356 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-16)  24-29 (-12)  44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+33)  95-100 (+8)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  7 G15                 NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6 G16     N  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.67         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12                      NE  8        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-201000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
356 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-16)  26-31 (-14)  48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+43)  95-100 (+7)  35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  7                     N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G16     N  9 G17     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.57         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      NE  6        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-201000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
356 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-14)  25-30 (-16)  48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+43)  95-100 (+7)  34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N  8 G15     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     NE  3        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             6                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-201000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
356 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-18)  23-28 (-14)  45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+19)  92-97 (+3)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G16     NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.74         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 14                      NE  8        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-201000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
356 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-20)  24-29 (-13)  47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+19)  95-100 (+7)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  9 G17                 NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     N  6 G17     NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.76         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 17                     NE  9        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-201000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
356 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2012 /256 AM CST SUN FEB 19 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-19)  26-31 (-13)  50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+30)  94-99 (+4)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 10 G17                  NE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 10 G18     N  8 G19     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.62         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 18                     NE 10        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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