
449 
FNUS54 KMRX 180907
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
407 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE MILD CONDITIONS ON 
FRIDAY WILL SHIFT TO OUR EAST.  A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL 
MOVE ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES THIS WEEKEND SPREADING RAIN BACK 
INTO THE AREA TODAY AND SUNDAY. THE RAIN MAY MIX WITH...OR CHANGE 
TO SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA SUNDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-191015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
407 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+3)   33-38 (0)    35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-7)   90-95 (+17)  70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         N  5         NE 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.88         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      E 18         
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-191015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
407 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   34-39 (-1)   35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-4)   94-99 (+20)  72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      E  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NE  8 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.56         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SE 18        
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-191015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
407 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   36-41 (0)    38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+3)   93-98 (+11)  69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NE  5        NE  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          
PRECIP DURATION                    8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.19         0.44         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      SE 20        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 18 TO 27. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-191015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
407 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   41-46 (+4)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (0)    90-95 (+2)   73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        N 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.31         0.32         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     SE 17        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-191015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
407 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   41-46 (+5)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+6)   89-94 (-2)   71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NE  9 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.36         0.30         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SE 20        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               30 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-191015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
407 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+2)   36-41 (+1)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-5)   91-96 (+7)   72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE 10 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      NE 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.61         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      E 20         
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-191015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
407 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+3)   37-42 (0)    38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-4)   88-93 (+7)   73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NE  5        N 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          
PRECIP DURATION                    8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.63         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     NE 22        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-191015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
407 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2012 /307 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   41-46 (+3)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+1)   92-97 (+10)  71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        N 13 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.33         0.34         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      NE 20        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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