
249 
FNUS54 KMRX 172001
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
301 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE MILD CONDITIONS ON 
FRIDAY WILL SHIFT TO OUR EAST OVERNIGHT.  A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL 
MOVE ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES THIS WEEKEND SPREADING RAIN BACK 
INTO THE AREA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE RAIN MAY MIX WITH...OR CHANGE 
TO SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA SUNDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
301 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-5)   53-58 (+2)   33-38        36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-16)  43-48 (+3)   94-99        71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE 10 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      N  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 8            6            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.43         0.42         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     E 20         
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO
25. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-2)   53-58 (+3)   33-38        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-14)  44-49 (+5)   93-98        67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      N  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            6            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.58         0.39         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SE 17        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-182115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
301 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+3)   53-58 (+2)   34-39        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-1)   49-54 (+15)  95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  6        NW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.68         0.31         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     SW  9        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 17 TO
25. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-182115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+2)   55-60 (-2)   38-43        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   50-55 (+14)  94-99        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        E  6         NW  9 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            4            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.76         0.26         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      W  7         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-182115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+3)   55-60 (-4)   38-43        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   49-54 (+16)  95-100       60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        E  5         NW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            4            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.82         0.26         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      W 12         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
301 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-8)   55-60 (+1)   35-40        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   46-51 (+7)   91-96        68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  9 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  9         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.54         0.38         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     E 15         
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO
26. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
301 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-4)   56-61 (+1)   36-41        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+3)   44-49 (+7)   87-92        66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 10 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  6        N 10 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            4            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.58         0.32         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     NE 18        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
301 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012 /201 PM CST FRI FEB 17 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-1)   57-62 (0)    38-43        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+6)   49-54 (+13)  89-94        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        NE  7        N 11 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.74         0.24         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      N 17         
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

