
068 
FNUS54 KMRX 171001
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
501 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TODAY BRINGING DRY AND MILD  
CONDITIONS.  A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE 
GULF COAST STATES THIS WEEKEND SPREADING RAIN BACK INTO THE AREA 
SATURDAY.  THE RAIN MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS THE 
HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA SUNDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
501 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   32-37 (-6)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-23)  82-87 (-13)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 AM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     SW 12        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
19 TO 26. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-181115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
501 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   33-38 (-4)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-23)  79-84 (-16)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 AM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     SW 10        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...RAIN AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
18 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-181115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
501 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   34-39 (-2)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-31)  81-86 (-7)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      S  9         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...RAIN AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
18 TO 26. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-181115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
501 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   36-41 (-1)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-38)  90-95 (-5)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.32         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 10                      S 16         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-181115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
501 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   35-40 (-1)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-42)  95-100 (-1)  56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.34         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      S 15         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-181115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
501 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-3)   32-37 (-6)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-26)  87-92 (-6)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 AM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     SW  9        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
19 TO 26. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-181115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
501 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-3)   34-39 (-5)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-25)  88-93 (+4)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      SW 10        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-181115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
501 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012 /401 AM CST FRI FEB 17 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-3)   35-40 (-4)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-25)  95-100 (+11) 55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.35         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     S 15         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

