
270 
FNUS54 KMRX 160804
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
304 AM EST THU FEB 16 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 
TODAY PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING. A 
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FOR FRIDAY BRINGING 
WITH IT DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS.  A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE 
ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES THIS WEEKEND SPREADING RAIN BACK INTO 
THE AREA SATURDAY. THE RAIN MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA SUNDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
304 AM EST THU FEB 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   36-41 (-3)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+16)  89-94 (+9)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
304 AM EST THU FEB 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   35-40 (-2)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+17)  89-94 (+2)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     NW 15        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-170915-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
304 AM EST THU FEB 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   36-41 (-2)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+11)  81-86 (-12)  27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NW  8        
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 15 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-170915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
304 AM EST THU FEB 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   38-43 (-3)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+18)  86-91 (-6)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      N 10         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO
15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-170915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
304 AM EST THU FEB 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+5)   37-42 (-3)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+21)  85-90 (-11)  26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      N  9         
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
304 AM EST THU FEB 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    36-41 (-3)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+19)  90-95 (+3)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     NW  8        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
304 AM EST THU FEB 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   38-43 (-3)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+15)  84-89 (-1)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      N  8         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
304 AM EST THU FEB 16 2012 /204 AM CST THU FEB 16 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+3)   39-44 (-3)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+11)  83-88 (-6)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      N  9         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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