
418 
FNUS54 KMRX 151939
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
240 PM EST WED FEB 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL 
CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TONIGHT...SPREADING RAIN ACROSS THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. 
DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN FOR FRIDAY...BUT RAIN CHANCES WILL 
INCREASE AGAIN BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO 
REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH SATURDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
240 PM EST WED FEB 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+3)   55-60 (+1)   34-39        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   53-58 (+14)  85-90        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        W  7 G16     NW  5        NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.15         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     NW 13        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST WED FEB 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+3)   54-59 (+1)   34-39        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-4)   53-58 (+15)  86-91        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G18                  NW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G22    W  8 G15     NW  7 G15    NW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.23         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-162030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
240 PM EST WED FEB 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+6)   54-59 (+2)   34-39        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-10)  52-57 (+9)   85-90        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G24                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G23     W  8 G15     NW  6        N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.20         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     NW 12        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S 
TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-162030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST WED FEB 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+5)   57-62 (+2)   36-41        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-13)  50-55 (+8)   85-90        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G18                  N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G21    W  5         N  5         N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   6 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.20         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     N 12         
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-162030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST WED FEB 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+6)   57-62 (+2)   35-40        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-10)  52-57 (+11)  85-90        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G17    W  5         NW  6        NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.27         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      N 12         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   28 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
240 PM EST WED FEB 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+1)   57-62 (+1)   35-40        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   51-56 (+12)  85-90        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.17         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     NW 12        
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 
IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
240 PM EST WED FEB 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+5)   58-63 (+2)   36-41        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-14)  50-55 (+10)  83-88        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   6 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.10         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     N 12         
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 
IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
240 PM EST WED FEB 15 2012 /140 PM CST WED FEB 15 2012/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+5)   59-64 (+2)   37-42        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  51-56 (+11)  83-88        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     NW  6        N  6         N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   6 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.09         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      N 12         
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 
IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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