
659 
FNUS54 KMRX 150757
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
257 AM EST WED FEB 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN BRIEFLY TODAY
...BEFORE ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPREADS RAIN INTO THE REGION
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
257 AM EST WED FEB 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+14)  37-42 (+8)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-16)  93-98 (-4)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     SW 26        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
257 AM EST WED FEB 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+10)  38-43 (+8)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-23)  88-93 (-9)   62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.25         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      SW 24        
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-160900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
257 AM EST WED FEB 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+15)  39-44 (+7)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-28)  87-92 (-10)  64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G16    W  6 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
257 AM EST WED FEB 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+20)  38-43 (+7)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-44)  95-100 (0)   65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
257 AM EST WED FEB 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+22)  36-41 (+6)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-53)  95-100 (0)   69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.26         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    40 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             6                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
257 AM EST WED FEB 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+14)  37-42 (+7)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-23)  95-100 (-1)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.18         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  3                      SW 22        
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
257 AM EST WED FEB 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+16)  40-45 (+8)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-21)  91-96 (-6)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SW 21        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
257 AM EST WED FEB 15 2012 /157 AM CST WED FEB 15 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+17)  41-46 (+9)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-36)  95-100 (-1)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G15     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.20         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 17        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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