
700 
FNUS54 KMRX 142003
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
303 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2012

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN BRIEFLY ON 
WEDNESDAY...BEFORE ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPREADS RAIN INTO THE 
REGION LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-2)   53-58 (+13)  39-44        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+24) 39-44 (-17)  87-92        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            3 AM                      CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.11         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      SW 26        
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (0)    51-56 (+11)  40-45        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+14)  39-44 (-15)  83-88        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5 G15     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G19    W  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            3 AM                      CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.17         0.22         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     SW 25        
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-152115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (0)    53-58 (+13)  41-46        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+20)  36-41 (-26)  82-87        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G21     W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            3 AM                      CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.40         0.18         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     W 25         
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-152115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-4)   58-63 (+16)  40-45        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 32-37 (-41)  95-100       56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.55         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-152115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-4)   60-65 (+20)  38-43        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  29-34 (-49)  95-100       60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.58         0.22         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      W 21         
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               38 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   56-61 (+15)  38-43        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+13)  37-42 (-23)  92-97        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            3 AM                      CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.18         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  5                      SW 23        
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-2)   57-62 (+15)  40-45        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+24) 38-43 (-23)  88-93        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.31         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  6                     W 22         
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2012 /203 PM CST TUE FEB 14 2012/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-3)   58-63 (+15)  42-47        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+13)  36-41 (-34)  94-99        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.46         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

