
851 
FNUS54 KMRX 140832
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
332 AM EST TUE FEB 14 2012

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE GULF COAST REGION WILL 
SPREAD LIGHT RAIN NORTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY.
THE RAIN MAY BE MIXED WITH SNOW OR SLEET EARLY. DRIER WEATHER 
RETURNS BRIEFLY ON WEDNESDAY...BEFORE ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 
SPREADS RAIN INTO THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
332 AM EST TUE FEB 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   27-32 (-2)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+18)  95-100 (+28) 40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    W  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     W  6         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
332 AM EST TUE FEB 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   28-33 (0)    51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+27)  91-96 (+21)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    FRZ DRZL     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W  7         
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-150945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
332 AM EST TUE FEB 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   30-35 (0)    53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+29)  87-92 (+17)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    SW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W  7         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-150945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
332 AM EST TUE FEB 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-1)   30-35 (-3)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+42)  95-100 (+17) 31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    DRIZZLE      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      SW  6        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-150945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
332 AM EST TUE FEB 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-5)   29-34 (-3)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+52)  95-100 (+14) 27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    DRIZZLE      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      W  6         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               11 POOR      
MAX LVORI             5                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
332 AM EST TUE FEB 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (0)    28-33 (-2)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+30)  95-100 (+22) 38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW  3        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
332 AM EST TUE FEB 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (0)    30-35 (-2)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+26)  95-100 (+24) 41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    W  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    DRIZZLE      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW  5        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
332 AM EST TUE FEB 14 2012 /232 AM CST TUE FEB 14 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (0)    32-37 (-2)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+39)  95-100 (+21) 38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         DRIZZLE      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      SW  6        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

