
272 
FNUS54 KMRX 132018
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
318 PM EST MON FEB 13 2012

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION. THE AREA OF LOW 
PRESSURE WILL SPREAD A LIGHT WINTRY MIX INTO SOUTHEAST TN AND 
SOUTHWESTERN NC BEFORE DAYBREAK TUESDAY. THE WINTRY MIX SHOULD 
CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN BY MID MORNING TUESDAY...AS WARMER AIR 
OVERTAKES THE COLDER AIRMASS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
318 PM EST MON FEB 13 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+14)  42-47 (+3)   30-35        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-7)   49-54 (+17)  95-100       39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   RAIN         RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W  9         
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
318 PM EST MON FEB 13 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+15)  41-46 (+3)   30-35        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-7)   52-57 (+23)  89-94        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    FRZ DRZL     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     W 12         
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-142130-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
318 PM EST MON FEB 13 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+13)  40-45 (+2)   31-36        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-6)   58-63 (+30)  85-90        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   FRZ RAIN     RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.12         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W  9         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO
10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-142130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
318 PM EST MON FEB 13 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+13)  42-47 (-1)   30-35        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-10)  66-71 (+40)  95-100       32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   DRIZZLE      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.13         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-142130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
318 PM EST MON FEB 13 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+11)  40-45 (-5)   29-34        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-6)   71-76 (+49)  95-100       28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   DRIZZLE      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.16         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     NW  8        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   8 POOR       
MAX LVORI                          4                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
318 PM EST MON FEB 13 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+14)  43-48 (+2)   29-34        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-9)   58-63 (+28)  93-98        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   RAIN         RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
318 PM EST MON FEB 13 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+14)  42-47 (0)    31-36        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-8)   61-66 (+32)  91-96        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   RAIN         DRIZZLE      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.11         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2000                      1900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     W  5         
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
318 PM EST MON FEB 13 2012 /218 PM CST MON FEB 13 2012/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+14)  43-48 (0)    32-37        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-4)   60-65 (+33)  95-100       39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   FRZ RAIN     DRIZZLE      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.11         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1900                      1800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     W  5         
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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