
474 
FNUS54 KMRX 130926
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
426 AM EST MON FEB 13 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 
WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY SOUTHEAST TODAY...AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE 
DEVELOPS OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION. THE AREA OF LOW 
PRESSURE WILL SPREAD A LIGHT WINTRY MIX INTO SOUTHEAST TN AND 
SOUTHWESTERN NC BEFORE DAYBREAK TUESDAY. THE WINTRY MIX SHOULD 
CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN BY MID MORNING TUESDAY...AS WARMER AIR 
OVERTAKES THE COLDER AIR MASS.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-141030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
426 AM EST MON FEB 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+12)  27-32 (+14)  42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-14)  73-78 (+12)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      SW 14        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-141030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
426 AM EST MON FEB 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+12)  26-31 (+15)  41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-12)  76-81 (+13)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      S 12         
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-141030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
426 AM EST MON FEB 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+10)  27-32 (+13)  40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-11)  76-81 (+14)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G16     S  9 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      SW 21        
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-141030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
426 AM EST MON FEB 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+10)  28-33 (+13)  42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-7)   84-89 (+20)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G16     S  9 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     S 16         
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-141030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
426 AM EST MON FEB 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+10)  26-31 (+11)  40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      15-20 (-8)   89-94 (+27)  63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        S  5         S  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/FZ RA   
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      S 13         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   24 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-141030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
426 AM EST MON FEB 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+11)  27-32 (+14)  43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-8)   81-86 (+14)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      SW 10        
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-141030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
426 AM EST MON FEB 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+11)  29-34 (+14)  42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-5)   76-81 (+13)  56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW 14        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-141030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
426 AM EST MON FEB 13 2012 /326 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   30-35 (+14)  43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-2)   80-85 (+20)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     S 16         
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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