
302 
FNUS54 KMRX 122001
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
301 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

.DISCUSSION...
COLD SURFACE RIDGE WILL BRING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND CHILLY 
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WITH LOWS DROPPING DOWN INTO THE TEENS ONCE 
AGAIN. SLIGHT WARM UP TOMORROW WITH HIGHS IN THE FORTIES BEFORE THE 
NEXT SYSTEM MOVES IN MONDAY EVENING. A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION 
IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT MONDAY INTO TUESDAY BUT WILL SWITCH OVER 
COMPLETELY TO RAIN DURING THE MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
301 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (+2)   39-44 (+12)  26-31        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+3)   21-26 (-18)  70-75        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      SW 21        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (+2)   37-42 (+11)  26-31        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    22-27 (-14)  71-76        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW 16        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-132115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
301 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (+6)   37-42 (+9)   27-32        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-3)   17-22 (-13)  73-78        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  8 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      SW 23        
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-132115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (+3)   43-48 (+10)  29-34        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+1)   17-22 (-9)   81-86        63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         S  8 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     SW 21        
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT
AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-132115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (+4)   44-49 (+9)   28-33        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-1)   14-19 (-9)   85-90        67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      SW 20        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   36 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
301 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      11-16 (-1)   41-46 (+11)  27-32        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+5)   19-24 (-11)  77-82        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      SW 17        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
301 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (0)    42-47 (+11)  29-34        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+8)   17-22 (-10)  74-79        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     SW 24        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO
MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
301 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2012 /201 PM CST SUN FEB 12 2012/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (+2)   43-48 (+9)   30-35        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+11)  16-21 (-6)   79-84        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/FZ RA   RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.17         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     SW 24        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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