
071 
FNUS54 KMRX 121045
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
545 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD WINTRY AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE OVER THE SOUTHEAST 
STATES TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME LINGERING CLOUDS AND FLURRIES SHOULD 
GIVE WAY TO PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...WITH DRY WEATHER LASTING 
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM GRADUALLY AHEAD OF 
THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...BUT A LIGHT WINTRY MIX MAY OCCUR LATE 
MONDAY NIGHT...BEFORE CHANGING TO RAIN LATER TUESDAY. 

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-131145-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
545 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   13-18 (+3)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-6)   66-71 (+4)   21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G20                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G21     W  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     W  8         
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-131145-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
545 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   12-17 (+3)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-8)   66-71 (0)    22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 14 G28                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G26    W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 29                     W  8         
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-131145-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
545 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+1)   15-20 (+7)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-12)  65-70 (-3)   17-22        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G20                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     W  5         
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE
OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-131145-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
545 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+2)   16-21 (+4)   43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-11)  67-72 (+1)   17-22        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 10 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 18                      W  3         
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-131145-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
545 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+3)   16-21 (+5)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-11)  66-71 (0)    14-19        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G19                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 23                      W  5         
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      
MAX LVORI             2                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...SNOW LIKELY AND
CHANCE OF LIGHT SLEET. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-131145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
545 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-1)   12-17 (0)    41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-13)  70-75 (+5)   19-24        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     W  5         
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-131145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
545 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+1)   14-19 (+1)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-10)  67-72 (+8)   17-22        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     SW  5        
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-131145-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
545 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012 /445 AM CST SUN FEB 12 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+2)   16-21 (+3)   43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-10)  66-71 (+11)  16-21        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     SW  3        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

