
289 
FNUS54 KMRX 110946
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
446 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

.DISCUSSION...
MUCH COLDER AIR AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY
BEHIND PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS WILL 
HELP TO CREATE SOME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS...
AND MAKE TEMPERATURES FEEL EVEN COLDER. HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER 
THE SOUTHEAST STATES INTO MONDAY RETURNING DRY WEATHER...BUT 
TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY STAY BELOW NORMAL FOR A CHANGE.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-121115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
446 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-11)  9-14 (-17)   26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-13)  75-80 (-19)  32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 14 G24                 NW 10 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G25    NW 14 G25    W 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 28                     NW 24        
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-121115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
446 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-11)  7-12 (-18)   25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-13)  80-85 (-11)  27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 15 G30                 NW 13 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 18 G32    NW 17 G32    W 14 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 31                     NW 30        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               69 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 18. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-121115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
446 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-12)  8-13 (-17)   28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-8)   80-85 (-9)   21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 15 G30                 NW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G31    NW 13 G27    NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 28                     NW 22        
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-121115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
446 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-13)  11-16 (-19)  32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-9)   73-78 (-15)  20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 15 G28                 NW  9 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G28    NW 13 G22    NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 26                     N 21         
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. NOT AS
COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-121115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
446 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-11)  10-15 (-21)  33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-11)  72-77 (-15)  17-22        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 15 G29                 NW  9 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G29    NW 14 G24    NW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 30                     N 25         
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               75 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. NOT AS
COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-121115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
446 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-13)  10-15 (-18)  29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-14)  74-79 (-16)  23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 13 G24                 W 10 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G25    NW 13 G23    W 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 26                     NW 21        
DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. NOT AS
COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-121115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
446 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-13)  12-17 (-16)  32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-10)  66-71 (-20)  21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 14 G25                 NW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G25    NW 12 G22    W  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 26                     NW 17        
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. NOT AS
COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-121115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
446 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012 /346 AM CST SAT FEB 11 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-14)  13-18 (-17)  33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  62-67 (-18)  18-23        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 15 G27                 NW  9 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G27    NW 12 G22    NW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 28                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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