
497 
FNUS54 KMRX 110009
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
330 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT LED BY SOME LIGHT 
RAINFALL THAT WILL BEGIN EARLY THIS EVENING. ONCE THE COLD FRONT 
PASSES...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FILTER IN ALLOWING THE RAINFALL TO 
CHANGE COMPLETELY OVER TO SNOW. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE 
INTO SATURDAY EVENING BUT MAINLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. EXPECT 
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WITH HIGHS IN THE THIRTIES 
AND LOWS FALLING INTO THE TEENS EACH EVENING.    


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
330 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+2)   26-31 (-12)  8-13         28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  47-52 (-13)  74-79        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G27                 W  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 16 G29    NW 14 G25    W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.10         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 28                     NW 23        
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
330 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (0)    25-30 (-13)  7-12         26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   47-52 (-10)  78-83        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 15 G33                 NW 12 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 20 G36    NW 17 G31    W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.13         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 31                     NW 29        
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               67 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-112100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
330 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+1)   25-30 (-13)  8-13         30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-3)  39-44 (-10)  83-88        19-24        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G26                 NW  8 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW 14 G26    NW 14 G28    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.12         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 28                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-112100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
330 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+2)   31-36 (-13)  11-16        35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-5)   36-41 (-12)  73-78        18-23        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G29                 NW  8 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 17 G31     NW 12 G23    N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     N 20         
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.
NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-112100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
330 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+3)   30-35 (-13)  10-15        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   35-40 (-11)  73-78        14-19        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G27                 NW  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW 17 G29    NW 14 G25    NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 30                     N 24         
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               73 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.
NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
330 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+3)   29-34 (-13)  10-15        31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  41-46 (-13)  76-81        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G26                 W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 16 G28    NW 12 G23    W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.07         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 18. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
330 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+1)   30-35 (-13)  12-17        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   36-41 (-11)  68-73        20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G25                 NW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 14 G25    NW 11 G20    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.
NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-112100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
330 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2012 /230 PM CST FRI FEB 10 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+3)   34-39 (-12)  13-18        34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-12)  29-34 (-15)  63-68        18-23        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G27                 NW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 16 G28     NW 11 G21    NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 28                     NW 17        
DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.
NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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