
473 
FNUS54 KMRX 101557
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1057 AM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SPREAD A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW INTO THE 
REGION THIS EVENING. THE WINTRY MIX WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW FRIDAY 
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWS IN BEHIND PASSAGE OF A 
COLD FRONT. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY KEEP SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS 
OR FLURRIES GOING INTO SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. 
TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY BE BELOW NORMAL AFTER TODAY...AND STAY 
CHILLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-111700-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1057 AM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+4)   24-29 (+3)   26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+9)   95-100 (-2)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 13 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        NW 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     NW 25        
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 8 TO 17. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-111700-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1057 AM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+3)   23-28 (+1)   25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+10)  92-97 (-3)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 14 G30    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5 G15     NW 16 G31    
PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.08         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     NW 29        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
6 TO 17. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 18. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-111700-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1057 AM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+3)   23-28 (+2)   25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-3)   89-94 (-8)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     NW 14 G28    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         NW 15 G30    
PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.08         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     NW 25        
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
4 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE TEENS TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-111700-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1057 AM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+2)   28-33 (+3)   31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (0)    87-92 (-10)  33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 14 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 14 G28    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/FZ RA   FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           10           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     NW 25        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-111700-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1057 AM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-1)   29-34 (+4)   30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-1)   86-91 (-11)  32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 14 G28    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  6         NW 15 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     NW 28        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-111700-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1057 AM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+3)   26-31 (+4)   29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   91-96 (-6)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 13 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         NW 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.08         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     NW 24        
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 9 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-111700-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1057 AM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+2)   26-31 (+2)   30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-1)   85-90 (-11)  33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 13 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 13 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           10           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.06         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW 24        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-111700-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1057 AM EST FRI FEB 10 2012 /957 AM CST FRI FEB 10 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   29-34 (+4)   34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-5)   78-83 (-17)  28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 14 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 14 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     NW 25        
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

