
581 
FNUS54 KMRX 091503
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1003 AM EST THU FEB 9 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY WILL MOVE 
US INTO A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN WITH DECREASING CLOUDS FROM 
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES THIS 
AFTERNOON.  THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES IN ON FRIDAY...BRING ANOTHER ROUND 
OF SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OVER 
HIGHER ELEVATION FRIDAY NIGHT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-101615-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1003 AM EST THU FEB 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+1)   23-28 (0)    45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-17)  83-88 (-2)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     SW 14        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 8 TO 17. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-101615-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1003 AM EST THU FEB 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+2)   23-28 (0)    44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-16)  80-85 (-5)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      W 14         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 6 TO 17.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-101615-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1003 AM EST THU FEB 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+1)   23-28 (0)    44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-13)  83-88 (-1)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      SW 15        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 4 TO 18. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-101615-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1003 AM EST THU FEB 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-1)   26-31 (+1)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   83-88 (-4)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     SW 13        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 8 TO 19. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-101615-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1003 AM EST THU FEB 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (0)    25-30 (+1)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-5)   90-95 (+4)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     W 14         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 18. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-101615-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1003 AM EST THU FEB 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   24-29 (0)    48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-17)  82-87 (-2)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     W 14         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 9 TO 18. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-101615-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1003 AM EST THU FEB 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (0)    25-30 (0)    48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-13)  79-84 (-13)  32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      W 12         
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 11 TO 19. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-101615-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1003 AM EST THU FEB 9 2012 /903 AM CST THU FEB 9 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-1)   27-32 (+1)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-4)   80-85 (-8)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      W 12         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 21. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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