
076 
FNUS54 KMRX 071952
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
250 PM EST TUE FEB 7 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TONIGHT...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE SWINGING ACROSS THE 
TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY TOWARDS SUNRISE. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BRING 
SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION OVER THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY...WITH HIGH 
PRESSURE AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS BUILDING BACK FOR THURSDAY AND 
FRIDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
250 PM EST TUE FEB 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+2)   41-46 (-8)   24-29        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-5)   53-58 (+16)  82-87        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     NW  6        W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW  8        
DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND 
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EST TUE FEB 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+3)   41-46 (-5)   24-29        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-5)   51-56 (+14)  82-87        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G21     NW  9 G19    NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 10        
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND 
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-082045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
250 PM EST TUE FEB 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+2)   41-46 (-6)   24-29        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-8)   45-50 (+8)   84-89        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW  7        
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO 
MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-082045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EST TUE FEB 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+3)   47-52 (-5)   25-30        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-10)  41-46 (+9)   82-87        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5 G15                  N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9        N  7         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM                                   
PRECIP END                         1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     N  7         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND 
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-082045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EST TUE FEB 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+2)   46-51 (-7)   25-30        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-10)  41-46 (+9)   82-87        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G17    N  6         NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM                                   
PRECIP END                         1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW  7        
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   12 POOR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND 
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
250 PM EST TUE FEB 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+3)   44-49 (-6)   25-30        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-8)   49-54 (+13)  82-87        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW  7        
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND 
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
250 PM EST TUE FEB 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+5)   45-50 (-7)   26-31        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-11)  43-48 (+8)   82-87        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END                         4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     N  6         
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
250 PM EST TUE FEB 7 2012 /150 PM CST TUE FEB 7 2012/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+5)   49-54 (-4)   27-32        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-10)  38-43 (+2)   82-87        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    N  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     N  6         
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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