
240 
FNUS54 KMRX 051952
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
252 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR NORTHEAST WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OUT 
OF THE SOUTHERN APPALCHIANS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. A WEAK 
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION TOMORROW AND 
BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF THE AREA. WEAK HIGH 
PRESSURE AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL BUILD IN BY TUESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
252 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-11)  46-51 (+1)   28-33        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  44-49 (-29)  85-90        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        W  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM                                   
PRECIP END                         7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W  9         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 30. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
252 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-12)  44-49 (-4)   26-31        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-9)   46-51 (-23)  86-91        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM                                   
PRECIP END                         7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W  9         
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-062100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
252 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-9)   43-48 (-9)   26-31        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   49-54 (-13)  84-89        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        W  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM                                   
PRECIP END                         7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-062100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
252 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-9)   47-52 (-10)  28-33        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-3)   48-53 (-11)  88-93        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-062100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
252 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-9)   47-52 (-12)  28-33        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-5)   46-51 (-11)  88-93        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     NW  7        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   23 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
252 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-12)  48-53 (-3)   26-31        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-10)  43-48 (-22)  89-94        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM                                   
PRECIP END                         7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     NW  7        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 30. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
252 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-11)  49-54 (-7)   28-33        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-8)   38-43 (-18)  82-87        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM                                   
PRECIP END                         7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     NW  5        
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
252 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2012 /152 PM CST SUN FEB 5 2012/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-11)  50-55 (-8)   29-34        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-10)  38-43 (-19)  85-90        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     NW  3        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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