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FNUS54 KMRX 042000
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SHOWERS ACROSS OUR AREA 
OVERNIGHT AS IT TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE OFF 
TO OUR EAST ON SUNDAY. A WEAKER SYSTEM WILL SWING THROUGH THE REGION 
ON MONDAY MORNING FROM OUR NORTHWEST...WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
RAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF 
NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
300 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   47-52 (0)    31-36        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+20) 52-57 (-7)   95-100       39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        N  5         LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.04         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     W  8         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+3)   48-53 (+2)   31-36        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 58-63 (-1)   95-100       46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       6            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.04         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W  9         
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-052100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
300 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+3)   50-55 (+4)   33-38        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  51-56 (-21)  91-96        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       6            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.01         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     W  7         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-052100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+4)   55-60 (+6)   35-40        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  48-53 (-29)  93-98        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G15     LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM                      
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM         7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.01         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NW  8        
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-052100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+7)   54-59 (+5)   34-39        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  49-54 (-28)  95-100       37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM                      
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM         7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.01         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      8200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     W  8         
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   39 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
300 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+4)   50-55 (0)    32-37        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  58-63 (-11)  95-100       41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.03         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     W  7         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
300 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+2)   52-57 (+2)   34-39        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  55-60 (-22)  88-93        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       4                         1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM                      
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.00         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NW  7        
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
300 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2012 /200 PM CST SAT FEB 4 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   55-60 (+2)   36-41        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  51-56 (-24)  80-85        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G15     LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5                         1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM                      
PRECIP END            7 AM                      7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NW  9        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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