
078 
FNUS54 KMRX 031949
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
249 PM EST FRI FEB 3 2012

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FROM THE 
WEST...INCREASING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS TONIGHT. A CHANCE OF 
RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY THE 
BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-042100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
249 PM EST FRI FEB 3 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+8)   48-53 (-8)   44-49        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+6)   52-57 (+25)  88-93        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      NW 11 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          3 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.39         0.44         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-042100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EST FRI FEB 3 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+12)  47-52 (-7)   43-48        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+6)   47-52 (+22)  92-97        64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     W  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SW  8 G15    SW  8 G16    NW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.26         0.53         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 24         
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-042100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
249 PM EST FRI FEB 3 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+14)  48-53 (-5)   44-49        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   54-59 (+25)  93-98        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G19                  W  9 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  9 G20    SW  8 G19    NW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.23         0.51         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     NW 23        
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-042100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EST FRI FEB 3 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+11)  51-56 (-6)   48-53        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+22) 65-70 (+34)  94-99        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7                     W  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        S  8 G15     S  6 G15     NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   3 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.20         0.50         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-042100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EST FRI FEB 3 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+11)  52-57 (-6)   48-53        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+27) 70-75 (+39)  95-100       49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     W  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        S  6         LGT/VAR      NW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   3 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.19         0.52         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     NW 22        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    40 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          6                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-042100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
249 PM EST FRI FEB 3 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+8)   48-53 (-9)   46-51        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 58-63 (+28)  87-92        65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  6        NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.32         0.47         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-042100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
249 PM EST FRI FEB 3 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+9)   51-56 (-6)   47-52        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+6)   61-66 (+26)  88-93        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        SW  7        NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   3 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.39         0.38         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-042100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
249 PM EST FRI FEB 3 2012 /149 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+10)  53-58 (-4)   49-54        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 65-70 (+32)  88-93        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      W  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  6         S  5         NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   3 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.26         0.39         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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