
784 
FNUS54 KMRX 022006
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
306 PM EST THU FEB 2 2012

.DISCUSSION...
DRY AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 
HOWEVER...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT...INCREASING THE 
CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND INTO THE EARLY WORK WEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-032115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
306 PM EST THU FEB 2 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-13)  55-60 (0)    34-39        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-10)  29-34 (-12)  95-100       62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.38         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  5                     SW 21        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-032115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EST THU FEB 2 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-13)  54-59 (+1)   32-37        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-20)  30-35 (-8)   95-100       64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         S  7 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION                                              2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.24         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     SW 22        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-032115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
306 PM EST THU FEB 2 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-13)  54-59 (0)    35-40        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-19)  40-45 (+2)   95-100       71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6 G16     S  9 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.30         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      SW 28        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-032115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EST THU FEB 2 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-14)  59-64 (0)    37-42        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-21)  35-40 (+1)   95-100       67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      SE  7 G18    S  7 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.32         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      SW 28        
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-032115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EST THU FEB 2 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-15)  60-65 (+1)   34-39        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-24)  34-39 (+1)   95-100       67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  6        S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.28         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     SW 26        
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          1                         7            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-032115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
306 PM EST THU FEB 2 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-12)  58-63 (+1)   34-39        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-11)  31-36 (-9)   95-100       63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.32         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     SW 21        
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-032115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
306 PM EST THU FEB 2 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-12)  58-63 (0)    38-43        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   38-43 (-1)   95-100       68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.41         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     SW 29        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-032115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
306 PM EST THU FEB 2 2012 /206 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  60-65 (-1)   42-47        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-11)  37-42 (+1)   86-91        67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     S  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        S  7         SE  6 G16    S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         0.40         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     SW 28        
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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