
144 
FNUS54 KMRX 011928
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
228 PM EST WED FEB 1 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL LINGER ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT...THEN SLIDE 
EAST EARLY ON THURSDAY. RAIN WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING...WITH 
CLOUDS BEGINNING TO DECREASE THURSDAY MORNING. DRY AND PLEASANT 
CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED BY THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH 
FRIDAY. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS A 
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
228 PM EST WED FEB 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   55-60 (+5)   29-34        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+29) 34-39 (-9)   86-91        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G17                  E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     SE 13        
DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
228 PM EST WED FEB 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+6)   53-58 (+4)   29-34        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+34) 34-39 (-7)   85-90        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G19                  SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      SE  8        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     SE 13        
DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-022030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
228 PM EST WED FEB 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+6)   54-59 (+6)   30-35        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+24) 35-40 (-11)  82-87        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     S 12         
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-022030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
228 PM EST WED FEB 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+8)   59-64 (+7)   33-38        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+20) 31-36 (-28)  80-85        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        N  6         LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SE 16        
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-022030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
228 PM EST WED FEB 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+11)  59-64 (+7)   32-37        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  31-36 (-35)  81-86        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SE 15        
DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   32 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
228 PM EST WED FEB 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+4)   57-62 (+7)   31-36        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+21) 34-39 (-17)  84-89        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SE 14        
DISPERSION                         80 GOOD                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
228 PM EST WED FEB 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+2)   58-63 (+6)   32-37        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+20) 35-40 (-13)  81-86        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SE 13        
DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
228 PM EST WED FEB 1 2012 /128 PM CST WED FEB 1 2012/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (0)    61-66 (+8)   34-39        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+18) 34-39 (-27)  79-84        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      SE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     S 18         
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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