
468 
FNUS54 KMRX 010910
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
410 AM EST WED FEB 1 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY 
TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL HELP TRIGGER RAIN 
SHOWERS...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE 
WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-021015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
410 AM EST WED FEB 1 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   42-47 (+3)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+19)  92-97 (+20)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.47         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      NW 17        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-021015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
410 AM EST WED FEB 1 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-2)   41-46 (+7)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+13)  90-95 (+15)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 W  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.35         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 21        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-021015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
410 AM EST WED FEB 1 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-3)   41-46 (+7)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+11)  95-100 (+18) 40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G18                 NW  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  7 G18    N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.22         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     NW 17        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-021015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
410 AM EST WED FEB 1 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   43-48 (+8)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+28)  95-100 (+11) 37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  6        N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.18         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     NW 16        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-021015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
410 AM EST WED FEB 1 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    44-49 (+11)  58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+27)  89-94 (-4)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  6        N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.17         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   59 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             7                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-021015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
410 AM EST WED FEB 1 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-2)   41-46 (+5)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+21)  93-98 (+14)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.35         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-021015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
410 AM EST WED FEB 1 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-3)   43-48 (+3)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+18)  93-98 (+17)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.26         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2100                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-021015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
410 AM EST WED FEB 1 2012 /310 AM CST WED FEB 1 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-3)   43-48 (+1)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+31)  95-100 (+21) 39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  5        N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.18         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     NW 14        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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