
010 
FNUS54 KMRX 311939
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
239 PM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE REGION OVERNIGHT..AND 
MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL HELP TRIGGER SCATTERED RAIN 
SHOWERS...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE 
WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-012045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
239 PM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+11)  56-61 (-1)   43-48        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+6)   49-54 (+24)  83-88        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     W  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.11         0.33         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      NW 20        
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-012045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
239 PM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+8)   53-58 (-2)   41-46        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+13)  47-52 (+22)  81-86        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.27         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      NW 22        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-012045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
239 PM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+9)   52-57 (-3)   41-46        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+13)  47-52 (+20)  87-92        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    SW  6        SW  6        N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.09         0.27         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-012045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
239 PM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+8)   57-62 (-1)   43-48        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+15)  49-54 (+22)  86-91        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SW  6        SW  5        N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    5            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.25         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     N 18         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-012045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
239 PM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+7)   58-63 (0)    44-49        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+12)  45-50 (+19)  81-86        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  5        LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    5            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.23         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          5                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-012045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
239 PM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+9)   57-62 (-2)   41-46        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+10)  47-52 (+22)  86-91        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.09         0.28         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     NW 17        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-012045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
239 PM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+11)  56-61 (-3)   43-48        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+10)  53-58 (+27)  89-94        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  5        SW  5        N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.17         0.29         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     NW 15        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-012045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
239 PM EST TUE JAN 31 2012 /139 PM CST TUE JAN 31 2012/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+12)  57-62 (-3)   43-48        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+7)   54-59 (+28)  93-98        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  6         SW  5        N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.19         0.25         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     N 16         
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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