
198 
FNUS54 KMRX 310919
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL BRING 
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS...AND A WARMING TREND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE 
REGION ON WEDNESDAY...AND BECOME STATIONARY OVER THE TENNESSEE RIVER 
VALLEY. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL HELP TRIGGER SCATTERED RAIN 
SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING 
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+7)   39-44 (+11)  56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-1)   75-80 (+4)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     SW  6    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10        S  8         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 29         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+6)   36-41 (+10)  54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-2)   74-79 (+9)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     SW  6    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  8         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 28         
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-010930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+5)   35-40 (+10)  53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (0)    75-80 (+8)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8                     SW  8    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10        S 11         SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 28        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-010930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+3)   37-42 (+10)  57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (+2)   78-83 (+8)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      S  7     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9         S  9         S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 24        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-010930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   35-40 (+9)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (+3)   82-87 (+5)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8         S  7         S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 24        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   26 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+7)   38-43 (+11)  57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-1)   76-81 (+3)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        S  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 28        
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+6)   41-46 (+12)  57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (0)    73-78 (+4)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     SW  6    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10        S  8         SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     SW 25        
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 
IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-010930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EST TUE JAN 31 2012 /500 AM CST TUE JAN 31 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+4)   42-47 (+12)  59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (+1)   75-80 (+4)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      S  6     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9         S  8         S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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