
032 
FNUS54 KMRX 250920
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
420 AM EST WED JAN 25 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS 
MORNING...AND TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL. 
CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TODAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER 
TEXAS MOVES INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND A WARM FRONT MOVES 
NORTHEAST TOWARD THE TN VALLEY FROM NEAR THE GULF COAST. SOME PATCHY 
LIGHT RAIN MAY DEVELOP BY LATE IN THE DAY OVER THE PLATEAU AND 
SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE AND THEN BEGIN TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER 
WIDESPREAD AND SOAKING RAINFALL WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION THURSDAY 
AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. 

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-261030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
420 AM EST WED JAN 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   40-45 (+11)  58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-14)  88-93 (+8)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.28         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 30        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-261030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
420 AM EST WED JAN 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+7)   37-42 (+9)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-17)  93-98 (+12)  63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G16                 S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S  7         S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.25         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 30        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-261030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
420 AM EST WED JAN 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+7)   40-45 (+6)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-11)  91-96 (+9)   64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  7 G19     S  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.51         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 36        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-261030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
420 AM EST WED JAN 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+6)   42-47 (+12)  61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-6)   95-100 (+16) 58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G17                 S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G17    SE  6 G15    S  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.74         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      S 32         
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-261030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
420 AM EST WED JAN 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+6)   42-47 (+14)  62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-10)  95-100 (+17) 56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G16                 S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G17    LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.79         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 29         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-261030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
420 AM EST WED JAN 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+4)   40-45 (+11)  59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-10)  92-97 (+11)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           30           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.23         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      SW 28        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-261030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
420 AM EST WED JAN 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   41-46 (+9)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-4)   95-100 (+12) 65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.50         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW 32        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-261030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
420 AM EST WED JAN 25 2012 /320 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+3)   45-50 (+13)  62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-1)   95-100 (+13) 62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5 G15                  S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  5         S  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.69         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1800                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 33         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TD/SON

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