
557 
FNUS54 KMRX 232135 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
435 PM EST MON JAN 23 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TONIGHT...BUT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 
NORMAL FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL 
SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...BRINGING 
ANOTHER WIDESPREAD AND SOAKING RAINFALL EVENT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
435 PM EST MON JAN 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-9)   49-54 (-9)   27-32        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+4)   39-44 (-25)  76-81        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            10           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      SW  9        
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
435 PM EST MON JAN 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-6)   49-54 (-6)   25-30        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 36-41 (-31)  81-86        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            10           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      SW  9        
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-242100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
435 PM EST MON JAN 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-15)  51-56 (-7)   26-31        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+4)   23-28 (-40)  81-86        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      SW  9        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-242100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
435 PM EST MON JAN 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-13)  55-60 (-3)   27-32        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  27-32 (-36)  95-100       32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     S 10         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-242100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
435 PM EST MON JAN 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-10)  56-61 (-1)   27-32        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  25-30 (-34)  95-100       30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     S  9         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   12 POOR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
435 PM EST MON JAN 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  51-56 (-8)   27-32        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 37-42 (-27)  82-87        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      SW  8        
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
435 PM EST MON JAN 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-14)  52-57 (-9)   29-34        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-3)   34-39 (-24)  82-87        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      S 10         
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
435 PM EST MON JAN 23 2012 /335 PM CST MON JAN 23 2012/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-13)  55-60 (-6)   31-36        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-7)   31-36 (-29)  88-93        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  5        NE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.18         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     S 15         
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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