
187 
FNUS54 KMRX 221952
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
252 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2012

.DISCUSSION...
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL 
PUSH THROUGH THE AREA BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE 
TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN THE 
REGION...WITH THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
252 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+8)   55-60 (+1)   31-36        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  57-62 (+4)   78-83        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G22                  SW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G21    SW  8 G18    W  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.21         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 41                     W 20         
DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS
THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
252 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+5)   52-57 (-1)   30-35        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-7)   60-65 (+7)   79-84        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 15 G30                  W  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SW 12 G27    W  8 G15     W  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            4                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.27         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 44                     W 21         
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-232100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
252 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+5)   52-57 (+1)   28-33        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   53-58 (-12)  77-82        20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 18 G39                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G25     SW 15 G34    SW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.43         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 47                     W 14         
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-232100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
252 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+5)   57-62 (+4)   29-34        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   55-60 (-15)  76-81        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 13 G29                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G16     SW 11 G23    W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.39         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 39                     NW 10        
DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-232100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
252 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+5)   57-62 (+3)   28-33        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   58-63 (-11)  80-85        18-23        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    W  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.56         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               2                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 39                     NW 13        
DISPERSION                         96 GOOD                   29 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
252 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+7)   57-62 (+2)   31-36        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   55-60 (-2)   79-84        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G21                  SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    W  7 G16     W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.27         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 38                     W 16         
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
252 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+8)   58-63 (+5)   31-36        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  49-54 (-16)  76-81        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G22                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G22    W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.21         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 39                     W 13         
DISPERSION                         80 GOOD                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-232100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
252 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2012 /152 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   60-65 (+7)   32-37        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  46-51 (-21)  76-81        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW 10 G19    W  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.13         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     NW  9        
DISPERSION                         80 GOOD                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS NEAR 60.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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