
756 
FNUS54 KMRX 211938
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
238 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE REMAINS BEHIND AN EXITING WEAK COLD FRONT...WITH CLOUDS 
LINGERING OVER THE AREA. WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED 
FOR SUNDAY...WITH BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN RETURNING SUNDAY NIGHT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
238 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-10)  50-55 (-1)   37-42        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  57-62 (-19)  95-100       51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         SE  9 G16    W 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     SW 32        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   130 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
238 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-9)   47-52 (-2)   36-41        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   60-65 (-15)  95-100       49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SW 12 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE 13 G24    W 12 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.12         0.24         
LAL                   1            1            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     W 35         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   107 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-222045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
238 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-6)   47-52 (-3)   38-43        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  65-70 (-17)  95-100       43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G17                 SW 11 G28    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G20     S 14 G32     W 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.35         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            3            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     W 33         
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               108 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-222045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
238 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-7)   51-56 (-5)   42-47        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   68-73 (-14)  95-100       40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SW  8 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G15    SE 13 G26    W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      RAIN         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           20           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.53         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            3            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      W 25         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   94 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-222045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
238 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-5)   51-56 (-7)   42-47        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   73-78 (-14)  95-100       41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G19    W 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      RAIN         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           20           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.49         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            3            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      W 29         
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   111 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
238 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-11)  52-57 (0)    38-43        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  55-60 (-23)  95-100       49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  9 G17    W 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.17         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            3            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      W 29         
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               106 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
238 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-7)   52-57 (0)    41-46        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-4)   61-66 (-17)  95-100       43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  9 G20     W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.45         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            3            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      W 25         
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   108 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
238 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012 /138 PM CST SAT JAN 21 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-7)   53-58 (-2)   42-47        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   63-68 (-12)  95-100       38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S 11 G23     W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      RAIN         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           20           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.75         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            3            1            
LASI                               2                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 29                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   93 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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