
961 
FNUS54 KMRX 211422 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
922 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY
....AND INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY THIS AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD 
RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221530-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
922 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+2)   34-39 (-7)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+16)  93-98 (-2)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      S  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            10           
PRECIP DURATION       4                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         
PRECIP END            4 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      SW 18        
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221530-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
922 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   34-39 (-8)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+15)  94-99 (+1)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 SE  8        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      SW 17        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-221530-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
922 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+7)   35-40 (-7)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+1)   95-100 (-3)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G23                 S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G22     LGT/VAR      S 11 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.76         0.01         0.03         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      SW 23        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...BREEZY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-221530-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
922 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+9)   38-43 (-6)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-8)   95-100 (-2)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G21                 SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SE 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.78         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      S 21         
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-221530-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
922 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+10)  39-44 (-3)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-12)  91-96 (-6)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5 G15     LGT/VAR      SE  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.81         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      S 20         
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221530-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
922 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+3)   35-40 (-8)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+9)   95-100 (+2)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SE  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            10           
PRECIP DURATION       5                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      S 16         
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221530-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
922 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+5)   35-40 (-7)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-7)   95-100 (0)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      S 21         
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221530-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
922 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2012 /822 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+7)   36-41 (-8)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-14)  95-100 (-1)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G17                  SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            10           
PRECIP DURATION       3                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         
PRECIP END            4 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      S 23         
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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